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Red53
101821.4
809611.2
150164.1
Blue103
518824.7
86878.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11014105020025053103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+20
Endgame+30
Fouls+50
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points12
16Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +21
6Coral scored#11
21Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
31Total teleop52
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#4
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points20
53Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
#14
64.13.4
66.162.7
Auto18.6
Teleop39.6
End5.9
blue by 14.4
868
#1
78.62.6
80.778.1
Auto19.5
Teleop48.0
End11.1
Second
1018
#19
21.43.4
23.219.8
Auto0.2
Teleop15.9
End5.3
blue by 3.4
5188
#10
24.72.6
31.629.0
Auto8.5
Teleop14.7
End1.6
Third
8096
#22
11.23.4
12.08.6
Auto2.8
Teleop8.0
End0.3
red by 7.3
3.82.6
7.04.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop2.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed54%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed83%Barge oddsEarned