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Red170
745786.4
492635.5
1002132.8
Blue85
765724.6
164624.9
394061.0
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17312505010015020025030017085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+69Teleop
+79Endgame
+85Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave3
10Coral scored#5
48Coral points24
51Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +45
17Coral scored#9
61Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
89Total teleop44
Reef
12L4#5
6L3#4
4L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +85
6Foul points0
170Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.40.7
86.587.2
Auto24.4
Teleop52.8
End9.2
red by 25.5
3940
#15
61.02.3
63.060.7
Auto12.4
Teleop40.8
End7.8
Second
35.50.7
33.734.5
Auto13.1
Teleop17.3
End5.2
red by 10.7
1646
#29
24.92.3
25.823.5
Auto6.9
Teleop17.1
End0.9
Third
32.80.7
32.733.4
Auto7.2
Teleop22.9
End2.7
red by 8.3
7657
#26
24.62.3
30.528.3
Auto6.5
Teleop16.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
36%Coral oddsEarned60%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned