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Red127
1002132.8
150164.1
82934.5
Blue44
14417.9
348722.8
501040.8
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18711405010015025030012744

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+71Teleop
+83Endgame
+83Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave0
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points23
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +57
11Coral scored#4
40Coral points13
3Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
18Processor points0
16Net points4
34Algae points4
74Total teleop17
Reef
4L4#3
7L3#3
2L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#10
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +83
0Foul points0
127Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
#14
64.12.5
73.070.6
Auto18.6
Teleop39.6
End5.9
red by 23.3
40.84.7
42.938.3
Auto10.7
Teleop26.5
End3.7
Second
829
#18
34.52.5
48.746.2
Auto8.3
Teleop22.6
End3.6
red by 11.7
3487
#23
22.84.7
39.034.3
Auto6.1
Teleop14.6
End2.1
Third
32.82.5
36.934.4
Auto7.2
Teleop22.9
End2.7
red by 15.0
144
#30
17.94.7
25.921.2
Auto1.0
Teleop14.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
84%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed