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Red63
874221.6
164624.9
174719.4
Blue144
765724.6
86878.6
44728.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8217305010015020025030063144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+59
Endgame+81
Fouls+81
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave9
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points11
19Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +58
7Coral scored#21
24Coral points74
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
12Processor points12
4Net points12
16Algae points24
40Total teleop98
Reef
2L4#7
3L3#8
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +81
0Foul points0
63Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1646
#29
24.91.6
32.731.1
Auto6.9
Teleop17.1
End0.9
blue by 53.7
868
#1
78.60.1
80.980.8
Auto19.5
Teleop48.0
End11.1
Second
8742
#24
21.61.6
20.018.4
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End4.6
blue by 7.1
447
#3
28.60.1
25.825.8
Auto7.1
Teleop16.4
End5.1
Third
1747
#25
19.41.6
31.930.3
Auto3.7
Teleop9.9
End5.8
blue by 5.2
7657
#26
24.60.1
35.135.0
Auto6.5
Teleop16.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed76%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed84%Barge oddsEarned