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Red72
540234.5
4542.8
518824.7
Blue59
695625.1
492635.5
427243.2
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152152601001201407259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+11Teleop
+19Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave3
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points10
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +6
5Coral scored#7
18Coral points26
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
28Total teleop34
Reef
3L4#2
4L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#11
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points6
72Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45
#4
42.84.5
58.553.9
Auto10.1
Teleop25.3
End7.4
blue by 0.4
4272
#31
43.25.5
65.059.5
Auto12.0
Teleop25.8
End5.4
Second
5402
#16
34.54.5
43.739.2
Auto8.6
Teleop20.8
End5.1
blue by 1.1
35.55.5
40.234.7
Auto13.1
Teleop17.3
End5.2
Third
5188
#10
24.74.5
37.733.2
Auto8.5
Teleop14.7
End1.6
blue by 0.3
6956
#20
25.15.5
30.625.0
Auto4.6
Teleop18.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
41%Coral oddsMissed34%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsMissed