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Red110
174142.3
101821.4
394061.0
Blue59
349460.6
809611.2
348722.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18213105010015020025030011059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+41Teleop
+51Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +47
17Coral scored#6
61Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
6Processor points6
20Net points12
26Algae points18
87Total teleop40
Reef
6L4#2
7L3#2
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points0
110Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3940
#15
61.03.5
71.668.1
Auto12.4
Teleop40.8
End7.8
red by 0.4
3494
#11
60.64.7
66.962.2
Auto12.0
Teleop39.3
End9.3
Second
1741
#12
42.33.5
54.550.9
Auto14.0
Teleop26.1
End2.2
red by 19.5
3487
#23
22.84.7
34.329.7
Auto6.1
Teleop14.6
End2.1
Third
1018
#19
21.43.5
28.524.9
Auto0.2
Teleop15.9
End5.3
red by 10.2
8096
#22
11.24.7
19.715.0
Auto2.8
Teleop8.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsMissed85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
80%Coral oddsMissed30%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsMissed