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Red233
745786.4
86878.6
174719.4
Blue115
44728.6
394061.0
164624.9
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions215112050150250300350233115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+98Teleop
+118Endgame
+118Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
3Leave6
10Coral scored#3
51Coral points17
54Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +67
26Coral scored#12
95Coral points42
5Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
30Processor points12
12Net points16
42Algae points28
137Total teleop70
Reef
13L4#7
15L3#3
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
44Game pieces#21
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +118
6Foul points6
233Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.40.9
86.987.9
Auto24.4
Teleop52.8
End9.2
red by 25.5
3940
#15
61.00.1
61.361.2
Auto12.4
Teleop40.8
End7.8
Second
868
#1
78.60.9
79.180.0
Auto19.5
Teleop48.0
End11.1
red by 50.0
447
#3
28.60.1
29.028.8
Auto7.1
Teleop16.4
End5.1
Third
1747
#25
19.40.9
19.520.4
Auto3.7
Teleop9.9
End5.8
blue by 5.5
1646
#29
24.90.1
25.024.9
Auto6.9
Teleop17.1
End0.9