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Red166
29236.1
874221.6
150164.1
Blue135
23446.1
101821.4
174142.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132118406080100140160180200166135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+39Teleop
+29Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave6
7Coral scored#3
35Coral points17
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +18
17Coral scored#16
62Coral points58
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
18Processor points12
24Net points16
42Algae points28
104Total teleop86
Reef
9L4#8
8L3#4
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +31
2Foul points0
166Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
#14
64.11.0
63.264.2
Auto18.6
Teleop39.6
End5.9
red by 18.0
234
#17
46.10.6
45.546.1
Auto10.6
Teleop29.1
End6.5
Second
292
#9
36.11.0
35.236.2
Auto9.4
Teleop21.6
End5.1
blue by 6.2
1741
#12
42.30.6
41.742.3
Auto14.0
Teleop26.1
End2.2
Third
8742
#24
21.61.0
20.721.7
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End4.6
red by 0.2
1018
#19
21.40.6
20.821.4
Auto0.2
Teleop15.9
End5.3