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Red130
349460.6
348722.8
492635.5
Blue153
4542.8
765724.6
501040.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132116050100150200130153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+19
Endgame+29
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave0
5Coral scored#6
23Coral points30
29Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +18
16Coral scored#20
59Coral points71
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
12Processor points6
8Net points20
20Algae points26
79Total teleop97
Reef
10L4#10
6L3#6
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#5
25Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +23
6Foul points0
130Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3494
#11
60.60.0
60.560.6
Auto12.0
Teleop39.3
End9.3
red by 17.7
45
#4
42.80.9
42.343.3
Auto10.1
Teleop25.3
End7.4
Second
35.50.0
35.535.5
Auto13.1
Teleop17.3
End5.2
blue by 5.3
40.80.9
40.341.3
Auto10.7
Teleop26.5
End3.7
Third
3487
#23
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto6.1
Teleop14.6
End2.1
blue by 1.8
7657
#26
24.60.9
25.426.3
Auto6.5
Teleop16.9
End1.2