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Red143
44728.6
394061.0
164624.9
Blue139
29236.1
874221.6
150164.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124130050100150200250300143139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+14Teleop
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave0
7Coral scored#5
34Coral points26
40Total auto26
Teleoperatedlevel
19Coral scored#16
67Coral points57
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#6
12Processor points6
8Net points24
20Algae points30
87Total teleop87
Reef
7L4#7
9L3#7
7L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
143Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3940
#15
61.00.6
60.761.3
Auto12.4
Teleop40.8
End7.8
blue by 3.2
1501
#14
64.10.4
62.863.2
Auto18.6
Teleop39.6
End5.9
Second
447
#3
28.60.6
28.429.0
Auto7.1
Teleop16.4
End5.1
blue by 7.5
292
#9
36.10.4
34.835.2
Auto9.4
Teleop21.6
End5.1
Third
1646
#29
24.90.6
24.425.0
Auto6.9
Teleop17.1
End0.9
red by 3.3
8742
#24
21.60.4
20.320.7
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End4.6