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Red131
4542.8
695625.1
501040.8
Blue151
29236.1
874221.6
150164.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111130050100150200131151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+14
Fouls+20
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points23
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +9
17Coral scored#18
61Coral points64
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#6
12Processor points18
24Net points24
36Algae points42
97Total teleop106
Reef
8L4#10
5L3#7
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points6
131Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45
#4
42.80.6
40.941.5
Auto10.1
Teleop25.3
End7.4
blue by 21.3
1501
#14
64.10.6
62.262.8
Auto18.6
Teleop39.6
End5.9
Second
40.80.6
38.939.5
Auto10.7
Teleop26.5
End3.7
red by 4.8
292
#9
36.10.6
34.234.8
Auto9.4
Teleop21.6
End5.1
Third
6956
#20
25.10.6
22.323.0
Auto4.6
Teleop18.0
End2.5
red by 3.5
8742
#24
21.60.6
19.620.3
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End4.6