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Red122
23446.1
14417.9
174142.3
Blue97
82934.5
317637.4
1002132.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117114608010014016012297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+25Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave6
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points17
27Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +21
11Coral scored#13
41Coral points46
4Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
24Processor points6
24Net points16
48Algae points22
89Total teleop68
Reef
6L4#7
5L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
122Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#17
46.10.4
45.145.5
Auto10.6
Teleop29.1
End6.5
red by 8.7
37.40.2
37.637.4
Auto4.0
Teleop26.7
End6.8
Second
1741
#12
42.30.4
41.341.7
Auto14.0
Teleop26.1
End2.2
red by 7.8
829
#18
34.50.2
34.634.5
Auto8.3
Teleop22.6
End3.6
Third
144
#30
17.90.4
17.417.9
Auto1.0
Teleop14.0
End2.9
blue by 15.0
32.80.2
33.032.8
Auto7.2
Teleop22.9
End2.7