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Red97
46130.2
540234.5
518824.7
Blue145
4542.8
695625.1
501040.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9211605015020025097145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+30
Endgame+50
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +15
0Leave9
3Coral scored#4
15Coral points21
15Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +15
9Coral scored#18
34Coral points65
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#2
12Processor points12
24Net points8
36Algae points20
70Total teleop85
Reef
5L4#8
3L3#7
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +48
8Foul points6
97Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5402
#16
34.50.0
34.534.5
Auto8.6
Teleop20.8
End5.1
blue by 8.4
45
#4
42.80.8
41.542.3
Auto10.1
Teleop25.3
End7.4
Second
461
#21
30.20.0
30.330.2
Auto10.9
Teleop18.2
End1.2
blue by 10.6
40.80.8
39.540.3
Auto10.7
Teleop26.5
End3.7
Third
5188
#10
24.70.0
24.824.7
Auto8.5
Teleop14.7
End1.6
blue by 0.3
6956
#20
25.10.8
23.023.7
Auto4.6
Teleop18.0
End2.5