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Red260
745794.3
348737.6
86888.0
Blue218
427278.5
394071.8
672142.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions231195150250300260218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+30Teleop
+48Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave9
12Coral scored#10
59Coral points49
68Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +20
32Coral scored#30
116Coral points108
4Processor algae#4
7Net algae#4
24Processor points24
28Net points16
52Algae points40
168Total teleop148
Reef
14L4#17
11L3#10
10L2#6
9L1 · trough#7
55Game pieces#48
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points6
260Total score218

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.30.7
93.293.9
Auto23.2
Teleop61.6
End9.5
red by 15.8
78.50.3
77.377.6
Auto18.8
Teleop49.0
End10.8
Second
868
#2
88.00.7
86.987.6
Auto21.9
Teleop53.6
End12.5
red by 16.2
71.80.3
70.570.8
Auto21.2
Teleop44.1
End6.5
Third
3487
#33
37.60.7
36.537.2
Auto7.0
Teleop29.1
End1.5
blue by 4.9
6721
#23
42.50.3
41.241.5
Auto7.2
Teleop29.7
End5.5