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Red229
745794.3
348737.6
86888.0
Blue241
427278.5
394071.8
672142.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions234196150250300229241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+10Teleop
Endgame+10
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
7Coral scored#9
35Coral points45
44Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +17
26Coral scored#33
95Coral points120
5Processor algae#2
11Net algae#5
30Processor points12
44Net points20
74Algae points32
169Total teleop152
Reef
14L4#13
8L3#14
4L2#7
7L1 · trough#8
49Game pieces#49
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points2
229Total score241

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.30.0
93.993.9
Auto23.2
Teleop61.6
End9.5
red by 15.8
78.50.9
77.678.5
Auto18.8
Teleop49.0
End10.8
Second
868
#2
88.00.0
87.687.6
Auto21.9
Teleop53.6
End12.5
red by 16.2
71.80.9
70.871.7
Auto21.2
Teleop44.1
End6.5
Third
3487
#33
37.60.0
37.237.2
Auto7.0
Teleop29.1
End1.5
blue by 4.9
6721
#23
42.50.9
41.542.4
Auto7.2
Teleop29.7
End5.5