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Red134
23449.3
44735.3
217127.5
Blue155
745794.3
46160.3
29241.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9217850150200250300134155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+34
Teleop+29
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +34
6Leave0
4Coral scored#12
21Coral points61
27Total auto61
TeleoperatedRed +5
17Coral scored#16
61Coral points58
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
6Processor points12
16Net points8
22Algae points20
83Total teleop78
Reef
9L4#15
4L3#6
6L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#32
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
134Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#8
49.32.7
46.949.5
Auto14.4
Teleop26.4
End8.5
blue by 45.0
94.30.4
71.370.8
Auto23.2
Teleop61.6
End9.5
Second
447
#34
35.32.7
26.329.0
Auto5.2
Teleop23.8
End6.3
blue by 25.0
461
#5
60.30.4
47.747.3
Auto17.5
Teleop35.4
End7.4
Third
2171
#38
27.52.7
20.623.2
Auto5.9
Teleop20.0
End1.7
blue by 13.7
292
#17
41.20.4
42.742.2
Auto10.8
Teleop28.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned