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Red165
102445.3
761758.4
448545.2
Blue149
317651.6
150174.8
1033217.5
64%Model gave it36%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147136100120160180200165149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+18Teleop
+14Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave9
9Coral scored#4
45Coral points18
48Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +3
19Coral scored#23
69Coral points84
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
18Processor points6
16Net points16
34Algae points22
103Total teleop106
Reef
10L4#12
8L3#5
4L2#7
6L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +4
12Cage & park16
12Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
2Foul points0
165Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.41.7
59.261.0
Auto14.1
Teleop39.0
End5.3
blue by 16.3
1501
#19
74.81.3
65.566.8
Auto19.4
Teleop46.8
End8.6
Second
1024
#18
45.31.7
37.239.0
Auto8.1
Teleop30.6
End6.6
blue by 6.3
3176
#22
51.61.3
44.946.1
Auto7.3
Teleop35.2
End9.1
Third
4485
#31
45.21.7
40.442.1
Auto9.1
Teleop34.4
End1.6
red by 27.7
17.51.3
19.721.0
Auto5.0
Teleop10.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed89%Barge oddsEarned