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Red141
1002146.0
810328.5
82953.0
Blue177
518839.4
427278.5
174160.2
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97168050150200250141177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+36
Endgame+36
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave3
5Coral scored#8
23Coral points41
26Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +18
19Coral scored#19
69Coral points67
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#10
12Processor points12
20Net points40
32Algae points52
101Total teleop119
Reef
10L4#12
6L3#6
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#5
31Game pieces#39
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points0
141Total score177

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#15
53.02.6
37.239.7
Auto10.5
Teleop36.4
End6.1
blue by 25.5
78.51.4
64.966.3
Auto18.8
Teleop49.0
End10.8
Second
46.02.6
38.240.8
Auto8.4
Teleop37.8
End-0.2
blue by 14.2
60.21.4
55.757.1
Auto18.0
Teleop38.7
End3.5
Third
8103
#25
28.52.6
24.226.8
Auto4.6
Teleop20.7
End3.2
blue by 10.9
5188
#28
39.41.4
32.433.8
Auto11.7
Teleop25.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsEarned32%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned