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Red117
540250.0
1049229.8
501047.2
Blue146
86888.0
843022.4
548430.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11413650100150200250117146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+7
Endgame+23
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave3
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points27
19Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +4
19Coral scored#16
68Coral points56
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
18Processor points18
12Net points20
30Algae points38
98Total teleop94
Reef
9L4#7
7L3#6
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points6
117Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5402
#12
50.00.4
53.253.6
Auto10.5
Teleop33.0
End6.5
blue by 38.0
868
#2
88.01.0
78.980.0
Auto21.9
Teleop53.6
End12.5
Second
5010
#11
47.20.4
34.635.0
Auto10.8
Teleop32.5
End4.0
red by 16.5
5484
#27
30.81.0
27.228.2
Auto5.3
Teleop25.8
End-0.3
Third
29.80.4
23.123.5
Auto6.0
Teleop20.3
End3.5
red by 7.4
8430
#29
22.41.0
18.219.3
Auto5.0
Teleop15.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned43%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
88%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsEarned