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Red126
843022.4
23449.3
394071.8
Blue101
695635.1
765735.2
349464.6
54%Model gave it46%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14013450100200250126101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+12Auto
+15Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +12
3Leave9
7Coral scored#4
37Coral points19
40Total auto28
TeleoperatedRed +3
9Coral scored#13
34Coral points45
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
62Total teleop59
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#5
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
126Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.80.3
62.261.8
Auto21.2
Teleop44.1
End6.5
red by 7.1
3494
#10
64.61.7
59.758.0
Auto10.8
Teleop43.3
End10.5
Second
234
#8
49.30.3
49.549.2
Auto14.4
Teleop26.4
End8.5
red by 14.2
7657
#20
35.21.7
31.730.0
Auto8.8
Teleop24.8
End1.6
Third
8430
#29
22.40.3
19.318.9
Auto5.0
Teleop15.4
End2.0
blue by 12.7
6956
#24
35.11.7
35.033.3
Auto7.3
Teleop25.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
55%Coral oddsEarned38%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned