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Red157
745441.9
32837.1
13546.6
Blue144
1049229.8
810328.5
219734.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1539450200157144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+3Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave9
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points6
23Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +5
26Coral scored#23
92Coral points83
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
12Processor points18
16Net points24
28Algae points42
120Total teleop125
Reef
11L4#7
6L3#8
4L2#5
8L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#33
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
157Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#13
46.60.4
35.535.9
Auto12.7
Teleop28.2
End5.7
red by 12.1
2197
#30
34.52.4
25.628.0
Auto5.1
Teleop26.7
End2.8
Second
7454
#26
41.90.4
44.344.7
Auto10.7
Teleop24.2
End7.0
red by 12.1
29.82.4
23.525.9
Auto6.0
Teleop20.3
End3.5
Third
328
#35
37.10.4
35.535.9
Auto3.1
Teleop32.9
End1.0
red by 8.6
8103
#25
28.52.4
26.829.2
Auto4.6
Teleop20.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsMissed