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Qual 162025 FIRST Indiana State Championship
Red122
695635.1
548430.8
761758.4
Blue137
13546.6
448545.2
810328.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14111550100150200122137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+15
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points30
30Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +12
13Coral scored#16
46Coral points56
3Processor algae#4
6Net algae#5
18Processor points24
24Net points20
42Algae points44
88Total teleop100
Reef
6L4#8
5L3#7
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#31
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
122Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7617
#9
58.40.6
63.7→63.1
Auto14.1
Teleop39.0
End5.3
red by 11.8
135
#13
46.61.7
35.9→37.7
Auto12.7
Teleop28.2
End5.7
Second
6956
#24
35.10.6
33.3→32.7
Auto7.3
Teleop25.1
End2.8
blue by 10.0
4485
#31
45.21.7
42.7→44.4
Auto9.1
Teleop34.4
End1.6
Third
5484
#27
30.80.6
31.2→30.6
Auto5.3
Teleop25.8
End-0.3
red by 2.3
8103
#25
28.51.7
29.2→30.9
Auto4.6
Teleop20.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsMissed