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Red254
86888.0
394071.8
101832.8
Blue129
44735.3
32837.1
1033217.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2149650150200250300254129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+43Auto
+97Teleop
+119Endgame
+125Fouls
AutonomousRed +43
3Leave6
10Coral scored#1
52Coral points6
55Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +54
28Coral scored#17
99Coral points61
5Processor algae#3
7Net algae#6
30Processor points18
28Net points24
58Algae points42
157Total teleop103
Reef
14L4#5
8L3#9
8L2#2
8L1 · trough#2
50Game pieces#27
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +125
6Foul points0
254Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#2
88.02.8
77.980.7
Auto21.9
Teleop53.6
End12.5
red by 50.9
328
#35
37.10.4
35.936.3
Auto3.1
Teleop32.9
End1.0
Second
71.82.8
61.864.6
Auto21.2
Teleop44.1
End6.5
red by 36.4
447
#34
35.30.4
29.629.9
Auto5.2
Teleop23.8
End6.3
Third
1018
#36
32.82.8
32.335.1
Auto3.2
Teleop23.4
End6.2
red by 15.3
17.50.4
18.919.3
Auto5.0
Teleop10.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
95%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned