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Red174
4552.4
219734.5
745794.3
Blue153
82953.0
1049229.8
349464.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160137100150200250174153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+31Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave0
7Coral scored#8
37Coral points38
37Total auto38
TeleoperatedRed +32
29Coral scored#15
103Coral points53
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
6Processor points12
12Net points24
18Algae points36
121Total teleop89
Reef
12L4#7
11L3#7
7L2#5
6L1 · trough#4
40Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
174Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.31.3
73.074.2
Auto23.2
Teleop61.6
End9.5
red by 29.7
3494
#10
64.61.0
58.059.0
Auto10.8
Teleop43.3
End10.5
Second
45
#7
52.41.3
43.044.2
Auto8.5
Teleop36.5
End7.5
blue by 0.6
829
#15
53.01.0
42.543.5
Auto10.5
Teleop36.4
End6.1
Third
2197
#30
34.51.3
28.029.2
Auto5.1
Teleop26.7
End2.8
red by 4.7
29.81.0
25.926.9
Auto6.0
Teleop20.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsEarned56%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned