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Red133
174160.2
672142.5
548430.8
Blue107
492654.0
518839.4
843022.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14010650150200133107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+36Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
6Coral scored#6
31Coral points31
40Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +33
15Coral scored#10
55Coral points36
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
18Processor points12
16Net points8
34Algae points20
89Total teleop56
Reef
6L4#7
8L3#3
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
133Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.20.4
60.160.5
Auto18.0
Teleop38.7
End3.5
red by 6.2
4926
#14
54.00.4
45.245.6
Auto16.5
Teleop30.9
End6.6
Second
6721
#23
42.50.4
36.636.9
Auto7.2
Teleop29.7
End5.5
red by 3.1
5188
#28
39.40.4
35.936.3
Auto11.7
Teleop25.3
End2.4
Third
5484
#27
30.80.4
30.631.0
Auto5.3
Teleop25.8
End-0.3
red by 8.4
8430
#29
22.40.4
19.720.1
Auto5.0
Teleop15.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
43%Coral oddsEarned17%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsEarned