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Red204
427278.5
46160.3
695635.1
Blue148
29241.2
32837.1
86888.0
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177201140160220240260204148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+44Teleop
+56Endgame
+56Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
6Coral scored#7
28Coral points37
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +44
31Coral scored#24
111Coral points85
4Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
24Processor points6
16Net points16
40Algae points22
151Total teleop107
Reef
10L4#12
9L3#9
9L2#6
9L1 · trough#4
45Game pieces#36
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points0
204Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.51.7
66.568.2
Auto18.8
Teleop49.0
End10.8
blue by 9.4
868
#2
88.03.1
80.777.6
Auto21.9
Teleop53.6
End12.5
Second
461
#5
60.31.7
51.152.8
Auto17.5
Teleop35.4
End7.4
red by 19.1
292
#17
41.23.1
44.041.0
Auto10.8
Teleop28.0
End2.4
Third
6956
#24
35.11.7
32.734.4
Auto7.3
Teleop25.1
End2.8
blue by 2.0
328
#35
37.13.1
36.333.2
Auto3.1
Teleop32.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsEarned58%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsMissed