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Red122
765735.2
448545.2
540250.0
Blue89
348737.6
101832.8
217127.5
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1429505020025012289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+33Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +19
16Coral scored#11
57Coral points38
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
85Total teleop66
Reef
7L4#4
6L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
122Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5402
#12
50.00.3
50.850.5
Auto10.5
Teleop33.0
End6.5
red by 12.4
3487
#33
37.60.1
31.731.6
Auto7.0
Teleop29.1
End1.5
Second
4485
#31
45.20.3
44.444.2
Auto9.1
Teleop34.4
End1.6
red by 12.3
1018
#36
32.80.1
35.135.0
Auto3.2
Teleop23.4
End6.2
Third
7657
#20
35.20.3
31.130.8
Auto8.8
Teleop24.8
End1.6
red by 7.6
2171
#38
27.50.1
23.923.8
Auto5.9
Teleop20.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned