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Red152
349464.6
4552.4
174738.9
Blue129
219734.5
317651.6
1002146.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16112450100150200250152129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+25Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave0
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points16
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +15
21Coral scored#18
74Coral points65
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
18Processor points12
20Net points20
38Algae points32
112Total teleop97
Reef
8L4#8
9L3#6
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
152Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3494
#10
64.60.6
59.059.7
Auto10.8
Teleop43.3
End10.5
red by 13.1
3176
#22
51.60.7
48.549.2
Auto7.3
Teleop35.2
End9.1
Second
45
#7
52.40.6
44.244.8
Auto8.5
Teleop36.5
End7.5
red by 6.4
46.00.7
40.841.5
Auto8.4
Teleop37.8
End-0.2
Third
1747
#16
38.90.6
39.640.2
Auto5.4
Teleop26.0
End7.5
red by 4.3
2197
#30
34.50.7
29.229.9
Auto5.1
Teleop26.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
58%Coral oddsEarned50%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsEarned