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Red120
501047.2
102445.3
810328.5
Blue227
44735.3
745794.3
394071.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9918950150250120227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+93
Endgame+107
Fouls+107
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave0
5Coral scored#9
27Coral points44
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +79
15Coral scored#29
54Coral points105
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#7
6Processor points18
12Net points28
18Algae points46
72Total teleop151
Reef
5L4#16
7L3#8
5L2#9
3L1 · trough#5
24Game pieces#48
BargeBlue +14
12Cage & park26
12Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +107
6Foul points6
120Total score227

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5010
#11
47.20.6
37.137.7
Auto10.8
Teleop32.5
End4.0
blue by 47.1
94.33.5
74.277.7
Auto23.2
Teleop61.6
End9.5
Second
1024
#18
45.30.6
37.438.0
Auto8.1
Teleop30.6
End6.6
blue by 26.4
71.83.5
64.668.1
Auto21.2
Teleop44.1
End6.5
Third
8103
#25
28.50.6
30.931.5
Auto4.6
Teleop20.7
End3.2
blue by 6.8
447
#34
35.33.5
29.933.4
Auto5.2
Teleop23.8
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsEarned78%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed98%Barge oddsEarned