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Red157
492654.0
86888.0
1049229.8
Blue156
150174.8
174160.2
765735.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1631670100200300400157156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+17
Endgame+7
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
8Coral scored#7
41Coral points35
47Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +20
16Coral scored#14
58Coral points50
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#9
12Processor points12
8Net points36
20Algae points48
78Total teleop98
Reef
8L4#5
7L3#5
5L2#7
4L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#32
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
8Foul points0
157Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#2
88.00.1
77.677.5
Auto21.9
Teleop53.6
End12.5
red by 13.2
1501
#19
74.80.4
70.269.8
Auto19.4
Teleop46.8
End8.6
Second
4926
#14
54.00.1
45.645.6
Auto16.5
Teleop30.9
End6.6
blue by 6.2
60.20.4
60.560.1
Auto18.0
Teleop38.7
End3.5
Third
29.80.1
26.926.8
Auto6.0
Teleop20.3
End3.5
blue by 5.4
7657
#20
35.20.4
30.830.4
Auto8.8
Teleop24.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
66%Coral oddsEarned61%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned