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Red131
349464.6
548430.8
745441.9
Blue119
1033217.5
1002146.0
46160.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15011750100200131119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+4Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave6
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points27
23Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +14
19Coral scored#18
70Coral points66
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
94Total teleop80
Reef
8L4#8
9L3#9
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#26
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
131Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3494
#10
64.60.3
59.759.4
Auto10.8
Teleop43.3
End10.5
red by 4.3
461
#5
60.30.4
52.853.2
Auto17.5
Teleop35.4
End7.4
Second
7454
#26
41.90.3
44.344.1
Auto10.7
Teleop24.2
End7.0
blue by 4.1
46.00.4
41.541.9
Auto8.4
Teleop37.8
End-0.2
Third
5484
#27
30.80.3
31.030.7
Auto5.3
Teleop25.8
End-0.3
red by 13.3
17.50.4
18.719.1
Auto5.0
Teleop10.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
64%Coral oddsEarned52%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsMissed