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Red106
843022.4
695635.1
102445.3
Blue199
174738.9
761758.4
427278.5
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8519250100150250106199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+71
Endgame+93
Fouls+93
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave9
4Coral scored#4
19Coral points21
19Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +60
18Coral scored#25
65Coral points89
1Processor algae#5
3Net algae#6
6Processor points30
12Net points24
18Algae points54
83Total teleop143
Reef
11L4#12
4L3#8
5L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +93
0Foul points0
106Total score199

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1024
#18
45.30.2
38.037.7
Auto8.1
Teleop30.6
End6.6
blue by 33.2
78.50.8
68.268.9
Auto18.8
Teleop49.0
End10.8
Second
6956
#24
35.10.2
34.434.1
Auto7.3
Teleop25.1
End2.8
blue by 23.3
58.40.8
62.563.3
Auto14.1
Teleop39.0
End5.3
Third
8430
#29
22.40.2
20.119.9
Auto5.0
Teleop15.4
End2.0
blue by 16.5
1747
#16
38.90.8
40.241.0
Auto5.4
Teleop26.0
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsEarned48%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed94%Barge oddsEarned