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Red162
810328.5
394071.8
217127.5
Blue159
150174.8
82953.0
348737.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131161100150200162159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+7
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave6
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points34
36Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +3
19Coral scored#22
70Coral points79
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#6
18Processor points12
24Net points24
42Algae points36
112Total teleop115
Reef
8L4#9
7L3#10
5L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#37
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
162Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.81.8
68.170.0
Auto21.2
Teleop44.1
End6.5
blue by 3.0
1501
#19
74.80.2
69.870.0
Auto19.4
Teleop46.8
End8.6
Second
8103
#25
28.51.8
31.533.3
Auto4.6
Teleop20.7
End3.2
blue by 24.5
829
#15
53.00.2
44.044.2
Auto10.5
Teleop36.4
End6.1
Third
2171
#38
27.51.8
23.825.6
Auto5.9
Teleop20.0
End1.7
blue by 10.1
3487
#33
37.60.2
31.631.7
Auto7.0
Teleop29.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
57%Coral oddsEarned27%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsMissed