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Red130
1049229.8
23449.3
518839.4
Blue107
44735.3
101832.8
501047.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125114050100150200250130107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+27Teleop
+29Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave9
8Coral scored#1
40Coral points7
40Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +3
13Coral scored#11
46Coral points41
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
12Processor points18
16Net points12
28Algae points30
74Total teleop71
Reef
5L4#3
7L3#4
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points6
130Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#8
49.31.1
51.052.1
Auto14.4
Teleop26.4
End8.5
red by 2.1
5010
#11
47.20.3
37.737.4
Auto10.8
Teleop32.5
End4.0
Second
5188
#28
39.41.1
36.337.3
Auto11.7
Teleop25.3
End2.4
red by 4.0
447
#34
35.30.3
33.433.1
Auto5.2
Teleop23.8
End6.3
Third
29.81.1
26.827.9
Auto6.0
Teleop20.3
End3.5
blue by 3.0
1018
#36
32.80.3
35.034.6
Auto3.2
Teleop23.4
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsEarned21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned