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Red153
548430.8
32837.1
219734.5
Blue175
765735.2
761758.4
843022.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121152050100200250153175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+12
Endgame+24
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points14
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +5
30Coral scored#19
107Coral points68
1Processor algae#7
5Net algae#7
6Processor points42
20Net points28
26Algae points70
133Total teleop138
Reef
12L4#5
12L3#8
6L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
2Foul points0
153Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
328
#35
37.11.8
32.133.9
Auto3.1
Teleop32.9
End1.0
blue by 21.4
58.42.1
63.365.4
Auto14.1
Teleop39.0
End5.3
Second
2197
#30
34.51.8
30.532.4
Auto5.1
Teleop26.7
End2.8
blue by 0.6
7657
#20
35.22.1
30.432.6
Auto8.8
Teleop24.8
End1.6
Third
5484
#27
30.81.8
30.732.6
Auto5.3
Teleop25.8
End-0.3
red by 8.4
8430
#29
22.42.1
19.922.0
Auto5.0
Teleop15.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsEarned