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Red101
29241.2
217127.5
349464.6
Blue140
102445.3
4552.4
348737.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14012350100200250101140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+27
Endgame+39
Fouls+39
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points14
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +30
14Coral scored#21
50Coral points74
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
12Processor points18
12Net points12
24Algae points30
74Total teleop104
Reef
7L4#9
5L3#4
2L2#6
4L1 · trough#5
23Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points0
101Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3494
#10
64.61.9
59.457.5
Auto10.8
Teleop43.3
End10.5
red by 12.2
45
#7
52.41.4
43.745.1
Auto8.5
Teleop36.5
End7.5
Second
292
#17
41.21.9
41.539.6
Auto10.8
Teleop28.0
End2.4
blue by 4.1
1024
#18
45.31.4
37.739.1
Auto8.1
Teleop30.6
End6.6
Third
2171
#38
27.51.9
25.623.7
Auto5.9
Teleop20.0
End1.7
blue by 10.1
3487
#33
37.61.4
31.733.1
Auto7.0
Teleop29.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
49%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsEarned