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Red222
4552.4
427278.5
765735.2
Blue207
1002146.0
501047.2
32837.1
84%Model gave it16%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18414150100200250222207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+3
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave9
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points17
37Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +14
29Coral scored#32
103Coral points115
3Processor algae#4
10Net algae#9
18Processor points24
40Net points36
58Algae points60
161Total teleop175
Reef
10L4#14
11L3#10
9L2#7
6L1 · trough#4
49Game pieces#48
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
222Total score207

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.52.8
71.073.8
Auto18.8
Teleop49.0
End10.8
red by 31.3
5010
#11
47.23.7
37.941.6
Auto10.8
Teleop32.5
End4.0
Second
45
#7
52.42.8
45.147.8
Auto8.5
Teleop36.5
End7.5
red by 6.4
46.03.7
44.247.9
Auto8.4
Teleop37.8
End-0.2
Third
7657
#20
35.22.8
32.635.3
Auto8.8
Teleop24.8
End1.6
blue by 1.9
328
#35
37.13.7
33.937.6
Auto3.1
Teleop32.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
35%Coral oddsEarned42%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed