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Qual 392025 FIRST Indiana State Championship
Red147
102445.3
23449.3
29241.2
Blue126
548430.8
492654.0
82953.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138139100110120130150160170180147126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+21Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave9
8Coral scored#3
38Coral points14
41Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +3
14Coral scored#11
52Coral points41
1Processor algae#3
6Net algae#5
6Processor points18
24Net points20
30Algae points38
82Total teleop79
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#3
6L2#2
5L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
147Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#8
49.31.2
50.7→51.8
Auto14.4
Teleop26.4
End8.5
blue by 4.6
4926
#14
54.00.1
47.7→47.8
Auto16.5
Teleop30.9
End6.6
Second
1024
#18
45.31.2
39.1→40.3
Auto8.1
Teleop30.6
End6.6
blue by 7.7
829
#15
53.00.1
44.8→44.8
Auto10.5
Teleop36.4
End6.1
Third
292
#17
41.21.2
39.6→40.8
Auto10.8
Teleop28.0
End2.4
red by 10.4
5484
#27
30.80.1
32.6→32.6
Auto5.3
Teleop25.8
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
35%Coral oddsEarned47%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned