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Red147
745441.9
518839.4
448545.2
Blue157
13546.6
540250.0
394071.8
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127176100150200250147157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+18
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
7Coral scored#9
34Coral points44
37Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +11
13Coral scored#20
48Coral points71
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#6
24Processor points12
24Net points24
48Algae points36
96Total teleop107
Reef
8L4#15
6L3#6
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#37
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
147Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4485
#31
45.21.3
43.044.3
Auto9.1
Teleop34.4
End1.6
blue by 26.6
71.80.3
70.069.6
Auto21.2
Teleop44.1
End6.5
Second
7454
#26
41.91.3
44.145.4
Auto10.7
Teleop24.2
End7.0
blue by 8.1
5402
#12
50.00.3
52.852.5
Auto10.5
Teleop33.0
End6.5
Third
5188
#28
39.41.3
37.338.6
Auto11.7
Teleop25.3
End2.4
blue by 7.3
135
#13
46.60.3
39.238.9
Auto12.7
Teleop28.2
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed76%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsMissed