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Red152
46160.3
174160.2
1049229.8
Blue104
317651.6
44735.3
810328.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15512450100200152104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+50Teleop
+42Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave6
6Coral scored#3
31Coral points13
37Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +32
18Coral scored#13
63Coral points47
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
93Total teleop61
Reef
9L4#4
8L3#5
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
6Foul points0
152Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#5
60.30.3
53.253.5
Auto17.5
Teleop35.4
End7.4
red by 8.8
3176
#22
51.60.9
51.450.5
Auto7.3
Teleop35.2
End9.1
Second
60.20.3
60.160.4
Auto18.0
Teleop38.7
End3.5
red by 24.9
447
#34
35.30.9
33.132.2
Auto5.2
Teleop23.8
End6.3
Third
29.80.3
27.928.2
Auto6.0
Teleop20.3
End3.5
red by 1.3
8103
#25
28.50.9
33.332.4
Auto4.6
Teleop20.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
58%Coral oddsEarned31%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsEarned