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Red90
843022.4
150174.8
44735.3
Blue121
540250.0
745441.9
317651.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1351605010015020025090121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+29
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave0
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points26
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +15
14Coral scored#15
50Coral points55
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
12Processor points18
12Net points16
24Algae points34
74Total teleop89
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#5
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
90Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
#19
74.82.9
71.368.4
Auto19.4
Teleop46.8
End8.6
red by 23.2
3176
#22
51.62.4
50.548.1
Auto7.3
Teleop35.2
End9.1
Second
447
#34
35.32.9
32.229.2
Auto5.2
Teleop23.8
End6.3
blue by 14.7
5402
#12
50.02.4
52.550.1
Auto10.5
Teleop33.0
End6.5
Third
8430
#29
22.42.9
22.019.1
Auto5.0
Teleop15.4
End2.0
blue by 19.5
7454
#26
41.92.4
45.443.0
Auto10.7
Teleop24.2
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsMissed82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
46%Coral oddsMissed56%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsMissed99%Barge oddsMissed