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Red194
13546.6
174738.9
86888.0
Blue136
761758.4
394071.8
349464.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166208100150250300194136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+38Teleop
+60Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
8Coral scored#7
38Coral points34
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +31
19Coral scored#15
68Coral points53
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#3
18Processor points18
28Net points12
46Algae points30
114Total teleop83
Reef
12L4#9
7L3#6
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#28
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points2
194Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#2
88.02.1
76.178.2
Auto21.9
Teleop53.6
End12.5
red by 16.2
71.84.2
69.665.4
Auto21.2
Teleop44.1
End6.5
Second
135
#13
46.62.1
38.941.0
Auto12.7
Teleop28.2
End5.7
blue by 18.0
3494
#10
64.64.2
57.553.2
Auto10.8
Teleop43.3
End10.5
Third
1747
#16
38.92.1
41.543.6
Auto5.4
Teleop26.0
End7.5
blue by 19.6
58.44.2
65.461.2
Auto14.1
Teleop39.0
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
69%Coral oddsEarned96%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned