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Red194
695635.1
82953.0
86888.0
Blue186
349464.6
843022.4
540250.0
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18213450100150200250194186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+20Teleop
+12Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave9
10Coral scored#5
48Coral points25
51Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +3
23Coral scored#28
83Coral points100
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
18Processor points6
24Net points16
42Algae points22
125Total teleop122
Reef
9L4#13
9L3#8
8L2#6
7L1 · trough#6
42Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
2Foul points6
194Total score186

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#2
88.01.5
78.279.7
Auto21.9
Teleop53.6
End12.5
red by 23.3
3494
#10
64.63.1
53.256.3
Auto10.8
Teleop43.3
End10.5
Second
829
#15
53.01.5
44.846.3
Auto10.5
Teleop36.4
End6.1
red by 3.0
5402
#12
50.03.1
50.153.2
Auto10.5
Teleop33.0
End6.5
Third
6956
#24
35.11.5
35.537.0
Auto7.3
Teleop25.1
End2.8
red by 12.7
8430
#29
22.43.1
19.122.2
Auto5.0
Teleop15.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
82%Coral oddsEarned78%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned