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Red123
765735.2
492654.0
1002146.0
Blue80
4552.4
745441.9
101832.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1381378010012016018012380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+61Teleop
+49Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
6Coral scored#4
30Coral points20
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +54
21Coral scored#6
75Coral points23
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
89Total teleop35
Reef
11L4#4
6L3#3
7L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points6
123Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4926
#14
54.00.5
47.847.2
Auto16.5
Teleop30.9
End6.6
red by 1.5
45
#7
52.43.5
47.844.3
Auto8.5
Teleop36.5
End7.5
Second
46.00.5
47.947.4
Auto8.4
Teleop37.8
End-0.2
red by 4.1
7454
#26
41.93.5
43.039.5
Auto10.7
Teleop24.2
End7.0
Third
7657
#20
35.20.5
35.334.8
Auto8.8
Teleop24.8
End1.6
red by 2.3
1018
#36
32.83.5
36.232.6
Auto3.2
Teleop23.4
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
52%Coral oddsEarned27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsMissed94%Barge oddsEarned