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Red176
174160.2
810328.5
23449.3
Blue125
1049229.8
217127.5
32837.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18611350100150200250176125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+37Teleop
+45Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave9
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points3
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +19
22Coral scored#20
78Coral points73
4Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
24Processor points18
20Net points12
44Algae points30
122Total teleop103
Reef
12L4#6
9L3#6
5L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#27
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
10Foul points4
176Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.20.8
60.459.7
Auto18.0
Teleop38.7
End3.5
red by 23.1
328
#35
37.10.5
37.637.1
Auto3.1
Teleop32.9
End1.0
Second
234
#8
49.30.8
51.851.1
Auto14.4
Teleop26.4
End8.5
red by 19.5
29.80.5
28.227.7
Auto6.0
Teleop20.3
End3.5
Third
8103
#25
28.50.8
32.431.6
Auto4.6
Teleop20.7
End3.2
red by 1.0
2171
#38
27.50.5
23.723.2
Auto5.9
Teleop20.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
72%Coral oddsEarned13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsMissed