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Red180
102445.3
427278.5
150174.8
Blue106
518839.4
13546.6
219734.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20411350100150250300180106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+36Teleop
+68Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
7Coral scored#6
34Coral points28
40Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +33
19Coral scored#11
70Coral points41
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
98Total teleop65
Reef
8L4#7
10L3#5
3L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#22
BargeRed +32
36Cage & park4
36Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +74
6Foul points0
180Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.50.6
73.873.2
Auto18.8
Teleop49.0
End10.8
red by 31.9
135
#13
46.60.6
41.040.4
Auto12.7
Teleop28.2
End5.7
Second
1501
#19
74.80.6
68.467.8
Auto19.4
Teleop46.8
End8.6
red by 35.4
5188
#28
39.40.6
41.040.5
Auto11.7
Teleop25.3
End2.4
Third
1024
#18
45.30.6
40.339.7
Auto8.1
Teleop30.6
End6.6
red by 10.8
2197
#30
34.50.6
32.532.0
Auto5.1
Teleop26.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
83%Coral oddsEarned17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsMissed