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Qual 512025 FIRST Indiana State Championship
Red163
394071.8
672142.5
82953.0
Blue102
548430.8
44735.3
1002146.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17011150100150200250163102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+39Teleop
+61Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave3
6Coral scored#3
31Coral points16
37Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +21
17Coral scored#16
60Coral points57
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
18Processor points12
24Net points12
42Algae points24
102Total teleop81
Reef
7L4#8
6L3#4
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#24
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points0
163Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3940
#4
71.80.9
65.4→66.2
Auto21.2
Teleop44.1
End6.5
red by 25.8
10021
#32
46.00.5
47.4→46.9
Auto8.4
Teleop37.8
End-0.2
Second
829
#15
53.00.9
46.3→47.2
Auto10.5
Teleop36.4
End6.1
red by 17.7
447
#34
35.30.5
29.2→28.7
Auto5.2
Teleop23.8
End6.3
Third
6721
#23
42.50.9
38.5→39.3
Auto7.2
Teleop29.7
End5.5
red by 11.7
5484
#27
30.80.5
32.6→32.2
Auto5.3
Teleop25.8
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
79%Coral oddsEarned44%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed