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Red195
217127.5
843022.4
745794.3
Blue223
761758.4
86888.0
4552.4
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133206100150250300195223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave9
7Coral scored#4
37Coral points21
40Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +16
30Coral scored#25
109Coral points91
2Processor algae#7
5Net algae#6
12Processor points42
20Net points24
32Algae points66
141Total teleop157
Reef
17L4#12
11L3#5
5L2#7
4L1 · trough#5
44Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +22
14Cage & park36
14Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
195Total score223

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.33.5
83.386.8
Auto23.2
Teleop61.6
End9.5
red by 6.3
868
#2
88.01.6
79.781.3
Auto21.9
Teleop53.6
End12.5
Second
2171
#38
27.53.5
23.226.7
Auto5.9
Teleop20.0
End1.7
blue by 30.9
58.41.6
60.762.4
Auto14.1
Teleop39.0
End5.3
Third
8430
#29
22.43.5
22.225.6
Auto5.0
Teleop15.4
End2.0
blue by 30.0
45
#7
52.41.6
44.345.9
Auto8.5
Teleop36.5
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
58%Coral oddsEarned83%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned