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Red193
492654.0
501047.2
174160.2
Blue87
448545.2
1033217.5
695635.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1651075015020025019387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
+88Teleop
+98Endgame
+106Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
3Leave6
10Coral scored#3
48Coral points13
51Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +56
25Coral scored#12
90Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
6Processor points6
24Net points16
30Algae points22
120Total teleop64
Reef
12L4#6
9L3#5
8L2#2
6L1 · trough#2
42Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +106
8Foul points0
193Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.21.9
59.761.5
Auto18.0
Teleop38.7
End3.5
red by 15.0
4485
#31
45.21.8
46.644.8
Auto9.1
Teleop34.4
End1.6
Second
4926
#14
54.01.9
47.249.1
Auto16.5
Teleop30.9
End6.6
red by 18.8
6956
#24
35.11.8
37.035.2
Auto7.3
Teleop25.1
End2.8
Third
5010
#11
47.21.9
41.243.1
Auto10.8
Teleop32.5
End4.0
red by 29.7
17.51.8
18.516.7
Auto5.0
Teleop10.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
77%Coral oddsEarned14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed