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Red201
150174.8
745441.9
29241.2
Blue160
32837.1
349464.6
518839.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18417104006008001,000201160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+33Auto
+35Teleop
+43Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +33
6Leave6
9Coral scored#2
45Coral points12
51Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +2
29Coral scored#23
104Coral points82
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
6Processor points18
16Net points24
22Algae points42
126Total teleop124
Reef
12L4#7
11L3#6
10L2#8
5L1 · trough#4
43Game pieces#34
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points2
201Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
#19
74.82.1
67.869.9
Auto19.4
Teleop46.8
End8.6
red by 10.1
3494
#10
64.60.0
56.356.3
Auto10.8
Teleop43.3
End10.5
Second
7454
#26
41.92.1
39.541.6
Auto10.7
Teleop24.2
End7.0
red by 2.5
5188
#28
39.40.0
40.540.5
Auto11.7
Teleop25.3
End2.4
Third
292
#17
41.22.1
41.543.6
Auto10.8
Teleop28.0
End2.4
red by 4.2
328
#35
37.10.0
37.137.1
Auto3.1
Teleop32.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
34%Coral oddsMissed51%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned